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Radiation Detected!

3/28/2011 - Testing For the Plume, Yukon, OK Statistics 101 No Radiation
March 28th, 2011 6:20 PM

Well, here are today's results, in graph form and raw numbers:


After working on this for some time a bit of statistical analysis really needs to be applied to my numbers.  Admittedly, I was a bit over excited about what I had seen on Saturday, and like many people jumped to an improper conclusion about what I was seeing.  My original hypothesis was that if the window swipe count was higher, then "bingo" the smoking gun, or in this case fission products from Japan!  However, the more I learn about statistics the Swipe count from Saturday was simply a statistical anomaly.  This is where it gets a bit complicated.  The first day I used a dirty window, so I will remove that test from the bunch.  This leaves me 11 days of testing, so just using the swipe test the average it is 12.3 CPM.  Now a bit of statistics needs to be applied (the Poisson Method), so adding together all the counts (remember, 5 minute count average) is 677.  If I take the Square Root, 26.0192236625 and divide by 5 I get the sigma, or in other words, I need to see 5.2 counts per minute average more to have anything that is statistically significant and indicates "yes" the plume is detectable with the equipment I have.

Obviously, that puts a damper on my Saturday "discovery".  So now what am I testing for?   The EPA says that what they have found is a very small amount, if I detect it then I will know without a doubt that there is a greater amount of radioactive contamination, since I am not using as high tech equipment as they are.  They are using continuous filtration of air and very high dollar germanium detectors (I saw one on eBay once, $10,000!).  Also they need to be cooled with liquid nitrogen.  So even operating one is expensive.  At least now I know what I am looking for.  However, even if I do get the expected count, that doesn't necessarily mean that the radiation is coming from contamination from Japan. 

Still Monitoring in Yukon Oklahoma, PM1703m Pocket Scintillator 7 microRoentgen per hour; PM1208 Geiger Counter Wristwatch .05 microSieverts per hour      

Posted in:General
Posted by Chris Cavanaugh on March 28th, 2011 6:20 PMPost a Comment

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No, not exactly. They do make raaidtion capsules that can be implanted in the cancerous area to help fight the cancer. Usually used in persons with stage 2, 3 and 4 cancers.But there are no raaidtion pills that you can take orally. Radiation HAS to be in the affected areas only.

Posted by Kelly on August 10th, 2012 10:02 AM

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